The Team

Henk Basson, Zurk Botha & Johan Basson work together to create & manage investment portfolios for their clients

20 March 2012

Commodity prices - Orange juice vs Gold


Cooper prices also reached record highs, driven by emerging-market demand, before falling back by the end of the year. Crop prices dropped thanks to bumper harvests for cereals, oils and wheat. Concerns over the supply of orange juice have pushed prices to a record high this week. A destructive fungicide was found in an orange shipment from Brazil, the world’s largest producer of orange juice

15 March 2012

TAX RATES INDIVIDUALS - 2013

TAX RATES INDIVIDUALS - 2013
Taxable income Rates of tax:
R 0 - R160 000                        18% of taxable income
R160 001 - R250 000             R 28 800 + 25% of the amount over R160 000
R250 001 - R346 000             R 51 300 + 30% of the amount over R250 000
R346 001 - R484 000             R 80 100 + 35% of the amount over R346 000
R484 001 - R617 000             R128 400 + 38% of the amount over R484 000
R617 001 +                              R178 940 + 40% of the amount over R617 000

TAX THRESHOLDS - 2013
Taxable income:
Persons under 65                   R 63 556
Persons 65 and under 75      R 99 056
Persons 75 and over              R110 889

TAX REBATES - 2013
Amounts deductible from the tax payable:
Persons under 65                   R11 440
Persons 65 and under           R17 830
Persons 75 and over              R19 960

17 January 2012

Patience

In the previous edition of Cognitio (3rd Quarter 2011), SIM commented on some investors losing patience with the low returns generated by equities during 2011 and probably more so over the past three to four years (the annualised return since the peak reached in 2008 is 3.8%).  It is invariably after a painful period for equities that investors often reduce their exposure or abandon them altogether.  This activity often occurs at precisely the wrong time.  Investors should actually feel more confident about the long-term potential of equities after a prolonged period of disappointment.  The chart below shows annualised five-year returns from 1960 to 2011.  Over this period there were a total of 8 five year periods when returns were below the most recent five year annualised returns of 8.8%.  However, during each five year period when returns were below 10%, they were followed by a better five year period (this comes with the normal health warning that past performance is no guarantee of future results).  For example, an annualised return between 1994 and 1998 of 4% was followed by a 17% average annual return from 1999 to 2003.  While we cannot say with any certainty what the next five years will hold, it is likely to be better than the previous five years.  In the shorter term investors may still endure hard times, but low valuations increase the likelihood of higher future returns.
Chart: 5yr total returns for the FTSE/JSE All Share Index
While we have had a tough year, successful investing involves the disciplined and patient execution of a long term strategy, especially when it is an emotionally fraught time.  
With thanks to SIM Unconstrained Capital Partners – from their latest Quarterly News Letter Cognitio



02 December 2011

Tips to curb overspending during Christmas

WRITTEN BY: Samantha Matthew - Glacier Research

Christmas is a time full of excitement and cheer … we call it the season of giving but the flip side of this is that we often forget that behind all this “giving” lies a lot of excessive spending. The holiday spirit is sometimes so contagious that it can turn even the most frugal buyer into a shopaholic! There are people who plan and budget for the festive season well in advance but the plain truth is that such individuals are a bit of a rarity, with the bulk of us being swept up in Christmas shopping-meltdown frenzy, chasing bargains, trying to get the last of our gift-buying out of the way. By the 24th of December we are physically (and financially) exhausted, wondering what we spent our money on and how we are going to make it until that much awaited January salary arrives.

Irrespective of the level of income you are earning the tendency to overspend is there and is fuelled by the media, seemingly bargain buys and outside social pressures to spend. Everyone would like to enjoy the festive season and the holiday spirit but the bills at the end of it (worst still if you have bought on credit) is something that we would all like to avoid. So in the spirit of spreading not only the good tidings during this year’s festive season, let us also mention a few helpful ways to avoid being swept away by all the cheer straight into a mountain of holiday debt.

Start saving
The best and most helpful piece of advice that can be given with regards to Christmas spending is start saving as soon as possible. Although simply saving for the year end shopping may seem pointless when you could rather be investing in something long term, the simple reality is that often Christmas spending gets so out of control that if you don’t plan and save ahead of time you could find yourself paying off debt accumulated over December for rest of the year to come.

Start your shopping for Christmas earlier
Another useful tip is to start shopping for Christmas as soon as possible. This allows you to not only shop around and compare prices, but also avoids that fever of last minute buying which often leads to unnecessary spending. Be conscious that retailers are aware of the fact that along with tidings of goodwill, the festive season also brings with it the tendency to splurge; hence they employ a number of strategies to fuel this. For example have you noticed that over the festive season shops open early and close late; how we are constantly bombarded with advertisements of sales and bargains; and as soon as we hit December they start a daily countdown? All of this is done to create a sense of excitement and urgency and is something that we have grown accustomed to during Christmas – to the point where many of us feed off this energy and sometimes use it as a further excuse to spend. By being aware of the atmosphere that is created, starting early and not getting caught in the rush and panic of last minute shopping, we can actually have a much more enjoyable shopping experience and our bank balances will thank us as well.

Use cash rather than credit cards
Another practical step that we should try is to use cash when purchasing. It is also important to note that studies have shown that when people use credit cards as opposed to cash they spend significantly more. Most people will agree that when we are buying those Christmas gifts, having to part physically with cash makes the reality of your purchase hit home much harder, as opposed to simply swiping the purchases and not actually physically experiencing that dip in your disposable income right now. However we feel the pinch as soon as credit card bills come in the mail during the course of the year that follows. Sometimes one cannot avoid using credit cards all together, so when you do decide to swipe ensure that it is not on an impulse buy and that you have shopped around for the best deal. Most of all if you are increasing the amount owed on credit during Christmas ensure that when the time comes you can pay the instalments that are required.

Plan a Christmas budget
Most people have a monthly budget when it comes to the normal realities of life, but somehow when December hits we tend to forget this logic. However if we can apply the same principle to Christmas it places us in a much better position financially and on a practical level as well. It enables you to keep yourself in check and prevents you from getting overwhelmed by the hype that could contribute to spending beyond your means. Having a pre-set budget and list also means that you are aware of your restrictions and enables you to stop spending. Once you have your Christmas budget in place, another useful tip is to ensure you actually keep to your plan, is to keep track of what you have purchased. This can be done by writing it down in a book or even keeping track on your phone - basically having the list of purchases physically available and not trying to keep tally in your head.

Impulsive buyers stay away from festive season sales
If you are an impulsive buyer and if you do shop for the sheer pleasure of getting a good deal perhaps it would be best to stay away from sales over December. The thrill and excitement of getting a “bargain” or walking away from a huge sale, feeling like you have truly made a good purchase, soon wanes when you realise you didn’t actually need what you bought. Remember that in effect those little sale purchases do eventually add up to a big dent in your bank balance. Although your secret shopaholic heart may not take kindly to such advice, come mid-January when you are still financially comfortable, I don’t think you will miss those “35%-50% sale” items which you didn’t need anyway.

As the festive season starts to begin, with Christmas virtually on our doorsteps, I am sure that being prudent with regards to spending will be the last thing on many of our minds. So before we get fully swept up in the merriment and delirium of the season, I urge one and all to take a step back and think about the way they will be spending their hard earned salaries and bonuses over the holidays. Remember Christmas does indeed come once a year and we should endeavour to enjoy it to the fullest, but not at the expense of having to pay for it (sometimes with interest) for the months that follow.

24 November 2011

Risk of drawing to much from an investment

An investor must preferably not draw more 6% of his investment as an income, otherwise he or she runs the risk of experiencing a reduction of income at an age where it is impossible to do anything about it.

10 November 2011

From Greece to Italy


Two thousand years ago, the world was ruled by the Romans.  Across Europe, from East to West, into Africa, and even including England, it amounted to roughly 1 in 4 people alive on the Earth who lived under Roman Law.  The Roman Empire was one of the largest and most enduring.  It is not only because of this central position that Rome played that we have the saying about all roads leading to Rome.  Their engineers were in fact one of the greatest road-builders in human history, building over 80 000km of roads.

So it saddens the history-loving heart to witness what has become of this once great Empire.  Reduced to petty political squabbles, and being amongst the most indebted countries on Earth, forced to defend its best intentions and actions from the marauding bands of bond vigilantes.  To say nothing of course of the plight of their creditors, who sit quivering at the looming prospect of Italy not being able to fund itself.

Yes, in this great financial crisis, it will be in Italy that the endgame will be fought.  So perhaps it is fitting that the saying “being thrown to  the wolves” also originates from the activities held in the Roman Colosseum.  Perhaps we should rather point to another idiom, that of the chickens coming home to roost.  The famous question will perhaps one day be asked : Why did the chicken cross the (Roman) road?  “Why, to get a haircut, of course!” will be the answer.

Source: Atlantic Asset Management